'New GM' to emerge from bankruptcy

Ailing automaker seeks court protection today
June 01, 2009 Tony Van Alphen
BUSINESS REPORTER

Canadian taxpayers will provide reeling General Motors Corp. with $9.5 billion (U.S.) in aid and take a 12 per cent stake in the once mighty automaker, which will seek court protection from creditors today.

In the biggest corporate rescue package in Canadian history, Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty will announce in Toronto this afternoon the repayable loan and what taxpayers will get in preferred and common stock under a restructuring plan to save the automaker and turn it into the "New GM."

GM, once the biggest company in the world, will file for court protection under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code in New York but it hopes to emerge in 60 to 90 days. It is not clear if GM of Canada Ltd. will file for protection here.

Protection in the U.S. will be automatic. A judge will decide during the 90 days who all the creditors are and will resolve disputes about how much holdout GM bondholders will get for their debt, payments to other creditors and expenditures by the company.

Under the plan, the money from both governments will be used during the bankruptcy process and subsequent transition into a healthy company.

U.S. President Barack Obama will announce about $30.1 billion in extra loans for the company. In return, American taxpayers will get $8.8 billion in debt and a 60 per cent interest in the company. In addition to its 12 per cent stake in the company, the Canadian government will get $1.7 billion in debt.

There will be a new GM board with a minority of existing directors and a majority of new members, including one from Canada.

Obama and Harper will emphasize at separate news conferences that the aid should put GM on sound financial footing with a viable plan that takes into account conservative projections for the future of the industry.

They will also say there are no plans for further aid and it is their intent to sell government-held stock in GM as soon as appropriate.

"The government has no desire to own equity stakes in a company any longer than necessary," one U.S. official said last night.

The moves come after GM submitted a new restructuring plan to the governments with more concessions from stakeholders, additional plant closures and lower projections on sales and market share.

Under the North American government aid package, Ottawa and Ontario will contribute $9.5 billion or $10.58 billion (Canadian), far more than the $3 billion the two governments promised in December. At that time Harper acknowledged taxpayers would probably need to provide more help.

The U.S. has already pumped $19.4 billion (U.S.) into GM, whose sales have plunged in the past year.

Government leaders in both countries have said that allowing the collapse of GM and rival Chrysler would push the Canadian and U.S. economies into a much deeper recession and cost millions of jobs.

GM will announce 11 more plant closures and idle three operations as part of the restructuring. However, industry insiders say the moves will not affect Canadian operations.

Chrysler LLC, also surviving on a government lifeline, gained court protection in the U.S. last month and hopes to emerge within days in a partnership with Italian automaker Fiat SpA. Their Canadian subsidiary did not seek court protection.

GM has not indicated it will stop production in the U.S. or Canada during bankruptcy proceedings.

Source;
http://www.thestar.com/business/article/643419

GM files for bankruptcy protection

I guess we all saw this coming....
General Motors Corp. filed for bankruptcy protection in court in New York City on Monday, a move that will clear the way for a sweeping reshaping of the iconic company.

"The economic crisis has caused enormous disruption in the auto industry, but with it has come the opportunity for us to reinvent our business," said GM CEO Fritz Henderson.

"We are going to do it once and do it right. The court-supervised process we are pursuing provides us with powerful tools to accelerate and complete our reinvention, as well as strong safeguards for our customers and our business," he said in a written statement.

In its filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in the Southern District of New York, GM said it had $82.29 billion US in assets and $172.81 billion in liabilities as of the end of March.

GM will follow the template set by the rapid restructuring of Chrysler LLC. On Sunday night, a U.S. judge approved the sale of most of Chrysler's assets to Fiat. Chrysler entered government-sponsored bankruptcy protection in April and could re-emerge this week.

Canadian Auto Workers president Ken Lewenza said he would be "incredibly surprised" if all of GM's Canadian plants stayed open while the U.S. parent firm is in bankruptcy protection. A similar situation happened at Chrysler's Canadian plants in April.

In advance of the formal announcement from GM, a dealership — Chevrolet-Saturn of Harlem Inc. — filed for bankruptcy protection. The dealership's filing also said a new company — dubbed Auto Acquisition Corp. — will be created to form the "new GM." Auto Acquisition will acquire most of GM's assets as part of the revamp under creditor protection.

The filing confirms that Albert Koch will become GM's chief restructuring officer. He aided Kmart Corp. through its own reorganization under creditor protection.

U.S. President Barack Obama is expected to hold a news conference at the White House at 11:55 a.m. ET to address the bankruptcy announcement and outline the length of the process, which could last from 60 to 90 days in court.

Fritz Henderson, will speak in New York at 12:15 p.m. ET. Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Minister of Industry Tony Clement and Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty will speak at 1 p.m. ET.

Administration officials told The Associated Press on Sunday the U.S. federal government will pump $30 billion US into GM as it makes its way through bankruptcy court. The automaker has already received $20 billion in government aid.

14 plants expected to close

The U.S. Treasury will get 60.8 per cent of the common equity of the new, revamped GM, while the Canadian and Ontario governments will take a 11.7 per cent stake in GM, and a United Auto Workers trust for health-care expenses would get 17.5 per cent, according to the reports.

Bondholders would receive a 10 per cent stake with the possibility of increasing their share to 25 per cent. Existing owners of GM's current common shares will likely get little, if anything, for their holdings, as often happens in similar situations.

GM also said it will speed up plans to cut 14 plants — which would reduce its number of assembly, powertrain and stamping plants from 47 in 2008 to 34 by the end of 2010 and 33 by 2012.

While none on the plants named on the list is in Canada, GM Canada has already said its hourly workforce will decline from 10,300 in 2008 to 4,400 in 2014. The GM Canada truck plant in Oshawa, Ont., recently ceased production.

If the restructuring process is successful, GM will emerge as a leaner company with a smaller work force, fewer plants and a trimmed dealership network. The company will move forward with four core brands — Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick and GMC. GM is dropping its Pontiac brand, and looking to sell its Saturn, Saab and Hummer brands.

The bankruptcy represents a dramatic downfall for GM, which was founded in 1908 by William C. Durant, who brought several car companies under one roof, and developed a strategy of "a car for every purse and purpose.

Source;
http://www.cbc.ca/world/story/2009/06/01/gm-bankrutcy-filing.html

Washington Post: U.S. to Steer GM Toward Bankruptcy

Just a update on what's going on in GM land, this is a few days old but still relavant....
Filing Expected as Chrysler Set to Emerge.

By David Cho, Peter Whoriskey and Kendra MarrWashington Post Staff WritersFriday, May 22, 2009

The Obama administration is preparing to send General Motors into bankruptcy as early as the end of next week under a plan that would give the automaker tens of billions of dollars more in public financing as the company seeks to shrink and reemerge as a global competitor, sources familiar with the discussions said.

The move comes as the administration prepares to lift the nation's other faltering car company, Chrysler, from bankruptcy protection as soon as next week, industry sources said.

The shifts into and out of bankruptcy are landmarks in the Obama administration's attempt to broker a historic restructuring of the American auto industry in the space of months.

The legal tactic is viewed by some as the best means of reviving the companies. But the speed of the government-led transformation has triggered complaints that the rights of investors and dealers are being trampled. Meanwhile, fears that a bankruptcy could lead to cascading business failures are spreading throughout GM's vast chain of suppliers.

Under the GM draft bankruptcy plan, the company would receive just short of $30 billion in additional federal loans, a source said.

The figure is a starting point in negotiations between the government and the company, the source said, and could change. A cash injection that large would boost the U.S. investment in GM to nearly $45 billion. The timing of the filing is also fluid, and could happen the first week of June.
The government previously indicated that it planned to take at least 50 percent of the restructured company, and likely would take the right to name members to its board of directors, as it has at Chrysler, where the government will control four of nine seats.

The United Auto Workers retiree health fund is set to own as much as 39 percent of the restructured GM, in exchange for giving up its claim to at least $10 billion that the company owes it. Yesterday, the union announced that it reached an agreement with GM that will reduce the company's labor costs.

Still unknown is what part the Canadian government might play in the ongoing GM restructuring.

GM operates several plants north of the border. The Canadians agreed to invest about $3.5 billion in the Chrysler restructuring and control one of the nine board seats.

In the GM negotiations, the Canadians are poised to make a similar investment, but they are seeking assurances that the share of GM production in their country will remain the same.

"China isn't putting up the money, and Mexico isn't putting up the money," said Tony Clement, Canada's Minister of Industry. "But if we're putting up the money, just as the Americans are, then we have the right to protect our production capacity."

Clement added that the Canadian Auto Workers union would have to make more concessions before the government agrees to get involved in the GM rescue.

"We've basically been joined at the hip with U.S. Treasury on our approach with both Chrysler and GM," he said. "We have officials down here in Washington all the time. We basically review the information together. We devise strategy together and execute strategy together."

Both Chrysler and GM have been saddled with too much in debt and labor costs to compete against rivals from Japan and Korea, industry analysts say.

To alleviate the financial burdens, the Obama administration has engaged for months in negotiations with the union, dealers and creditors in hopes of reducing automaker costs without having to resort to bankruptcy court.

But last month, the administration concluded that the only way to free Chrysler of its debt was to file for Chapter 11, and it is now nearing a similar decision with GM.

The chief obstacle to an out-of-court settlement for GM remains: There has been no agreement between the company and the investors who hold $27 billion worth of GM bonds.

Under orders from the Obama administration, GM has offered to give the bondholders a 10 percent equity stake in the restructured company in exchange for giving up their bonds.
So far, however, the investors have resisted that proposal and if no accord is reached by June 1, GM will follow Chrysler into bankruptcy.

The speed with which the Chrysler bankruptcy has proceeded has given the administration more confidence that the best path for GM may be a similar trip, where the claims of disgruntled creditors and dealers can be more easily resolved.

In the Chrysler proceedings, the court has yet to stand in the way of plans to create a new company led by Italian carmaker Fiat. Chrysler's existing assets would be sold to the new company and the new entity could be up and running as soon as next week.

That's because Chrysler is asking U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Arthur Gonzalez to waive the customary 10-day waiting period before the order approving the sale becomes effective. The hearing on the sale is scheduled for next Wednesday at 10 a.m.

Gonzalez has already granted a similar request to expedite proceedings. Time and again in court, Chrysler executives and attorneys have argued -- and the court has agreed -- that Chrysler's core assets are "wasting" and that an immediate sale must take place to preserve value.

"Subject to the closing conditions, a new Chrysler could emerge as soon as the ink is dry on the judge's order," said Scott Van Meter, managing director of LECG, a consulting firm.

The administration is taking steps to prepare. It is drafting the paperwork for a $4.7 billion loan to sustain Chrysler after it emerges from bankruptcy. On Wednesday, the automaker announced that C. Robert Kidder, former chairman of Borden Chemical and of Duracell International will become the company's new chairman. He will succeed Robert L. Nardelli.

Chrysler still could encounter some delays. The company faces a new legal challenge from pension funds representing Indiana teachers and police officers as well as a state construction fund. The investors, who contend that the automaker's sale violates their rights as senior secured lenders to Chrysler, are seeking to move the bankruptcy proceedings to federal district court, which has authority over the bankruptcy court.

A hearing on the matter is scheduled in district court Tuesday.

There are also challenges outside court. Chrysler has moved to close 789 dealerships on June 9. But Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-Tex.) has introduced legislation that would withhold federal funding if the automaker does not give dealers an extra 60 days to close down operations and sell remaining inventory. Her amendment has won the backing of a number of other senators.

Judiciary Committee chairman Rep. John Conyers Jr. (D-Mich.) said he hopes to meet with White House officials today to discuss changing Chrysler's bankruptcy plan and GM's future.

Conyers did not outline what he wanted, but a nine-person panel he assembled for a hearing yesterday offered a hint. Liberal consumer advocate Ralph Nader, a conservative Heritage Foundation analyst and minority auto dealers all criticized the automakers' restructuring.
Conyers and other committee members attacked the administration for abusing bankruptcy laws, unfairly eliminating dealerships and jeopardizing consumer safety.

"GM now stands for Government Motors," said Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Tex.). "While the UAW is cashing in, it's the dealers, creditors and American taxpayers who are being forced to cash out."

Source;

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/21/AR2009052104467.html?hpid=topnews

General Motors to Close Roughly Half of its Canadian Dealerships

R.I.P. Birchwood Pontiac Buick GMC. Wow, I never thought I'd see this day. I used to be a lot jockey and my dad had spent 25+yrs there. Sad day. My thoughts are with all of the families affected by this.
Following last Friday's announcement on the closure of 1,100 dealerships across the U.S. by fall 2010, General Motors is now telling approximately 42 percent of its Canadian dealers that they will lose their franchises next year. The U.S. automaker said that it has already started to notify some dealers sales and service agreements would not be renewed following expiry in October 2010. GM claimed in a prepared statement that the company's goal is to "accomplish this reduction in an orderly, cost-effective and customer-friendly way."

"Due to the unique aspects of our Canadian dealer network, we have focused our network rationalization efforts on key urban markets in an effort to achieve a viable network configuration all across Canada," GM said.

Source;
http://carscoop.blogspot.com/2009/05/general-motors-to-close-roughly-half-of.html

GM registers brankruptcy domains

With the emergence of two domain names GM has registered recently (gmrestructuring.com and gm-restructuring.com), it is becoming clearer that the carmaker is moving toward a filing of Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection before this month ends.

Although the sites are still empty, they are similar to the sites that Chrysler utilized to provide information since it filed Chapter 11 itself. If GM cannot restructure its bond debt, strengthen agreements with union workers and demonstrate that it can be viable before the government set deadline in June 1, then it will have to resort to a filing of Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. It has been noted that chryslerrestructuring.com offers free access to particular court documents and other details of the proceedings. There is also a report that says the domain name gmfiat.com has also been registered last week in Italy. If there are any agreements between these two carmakers, it will be limited to the European operation of GM’s Opel and Vauxhall.

Source;
http://www.4wheelsnews.com/gm-registers-brankruptcy-domains/

GM to close down 1,700 dealerships by June 1st

GM has accelerated its restructuring as the impending June 1 deadline approaches along with Chapter 11 speculations.

The carmaker has informed its dealers that it will expedite the close down of about 1,700 dealerships, an insider has said. At present, there are around 200 dealers that were shut down in this year’s first quarter.

Although the closure of such large numbers of dealers was not confirmed by GM officially, a spokesman did confirm GM-dealers meetings. The insider refused to comment on what happened behind the closed doors of the meeting. General Motors is counting on either the demise or sale of Saturn and Hummer. If GM succeeds in getting rid of these liabilities, the dealerships for these brands will also follow. GM can get rid half of the 1,700 dealerships it intends to close from the Saturn and Hummer brands alone. This will mean that there will be no buy-outs for the respective dealers together with those which GM will deem to be underperformers, whose franchise will ends by the first of June. Dealership closures will take place, whether GM goes bankrupt or not. One of the suggestions offered for the survival of the dealers is for them to acquire Saturn.

Source;
http://www.autospies.com/news/GM-to-close-down-1-700-dealerships-by-June-1st-43071/

Automakers fear domino effect from GM, Chrysler failure

Sorry, more doomsday BS.

Honda executives tell Trade Minister fallout from financial woes could hurt supply chain

Bruce Campion-Smith Ottawa bureau chief

OTTAWA–The collapse of North American auto giants General Motors and Chrysler could drag down other automakers, International Trade Minister Stockwell Day warns.

Day had met executives from Honda during a trade mission to Japan and reported yesterday they shared his concerns about the potential domino effect from the fallout of the sector's financial woes.

"The supply chain in North America really serves all of the automakers and if the main company goes down, it will pull supply chains down with it. That will affect other automakers whose position might not be so precarious," Day said yesterday in a conference call from Nagoya, Japan.

"If – again, underlining the `if' – if there started to be failure, that would affect all auto companies," Day said. "It's important that the industry survives, because what hurts one could hurt the other."

Ottawa and Queen's Park have said interim loans of $3 billion for GM of Canada Ltd. and $1 billion for Chrysler Canada will be advanced to assist the companies with their restructuring plans.

Honda has survived the recession better than most but even it has been facing "worldwide challenges," Day said. "This is one of the most difficult times Honda has faced.... They're doing their best to stay efficient," he said.

"Companies like Honda are ... relatively well capitalized and can ride out a storm for a while."
Earlier this week, federal Industry Minister Tony Clement prepared Canadians for the possible bankruptcy of GM or Chrysler.

"There used to be a phrase in the auto sector, `too big to fail,'" Clement said. "I don't think that phrase exists anymore."

Source;
http://www.thestar.com/Business/article/616625

What happens if an automaker goes bankrupt?

A: Under a Chapter 11 reorganization, a manufacturer's normal operations would probably continue. It would still be building cars and providing service, so car owners might not have problems getting warranty repairs, parts, and service.

In a Chapter 7 liquidation, the company would effectively cease to exist and car owners would largely be on their own. The company would still have to address safety recalls. It's possible that if another automaker buys a defunct brand, it would continue to support owners.

Perhaps more likely is an automaker's jettisoning a division, as GM did with Oldsmobile in 2004 and Chrysler did with Plymouth in 2001. Support for owners of those makes has continued through other GM and Chrysler dealerships. But the resale values of the vehicles plummeted, as would probably happen with a Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

If resale value is a concern, avoid buying a make that might be phased out. If you plan to keep the car for a long time, depreciation is less of a factor, and buying from a brand going out of business could make it easier to find a good deal. For more information on which automakers are best, see "Who makes the best cars?"

Source;
http://blogs.consumerreports.org/cars/2009/02/what-happens-if-an-automaker-goes-bankrupt-.html

GM loses $9.6 billion in last quarter bringing the total to $30.9 Billion for 2008

Embattled automaker reports larger than expected in fourth quarter loss and burns through more than $5 billion in cash; says it needs new loans this year.

By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney.com senior writer
Last Updated: February 26, 2009: 9:51 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- General Motors posted a $9.6 billion net loss in the fourth quarter, a period in which its sales plunged and it needed a federal bailout to avoid filing for bankruptcy.

The company also disclosed that it burned through $6.2 billion in cash during the last three months of the year. The company ended the quarter with cash of $14 billion.

If not for the $4 billion federal loan it received in the quarter's closing days, GM's cash level would have fallen below the $11 billion to $14 billion in cash the company has said it needs to continue operations.

Since receiving the first installment of that loan, GM (GM, Fortune 500) has gotten another $9.4 billion in federal assistance. The company asked for an additional $16.6 billion in the turnaround plan it submitted to the Treasury Department last week. GM disclosed Thursday it will need this at least $9 billion of that money in 2009 to weather the current downturn.

The company is expecting to burn through another $14 billion in cash this year, with most of it taking place in the first quarter as the company struggles to deal with weak demand and significant overhead costs.

GM chief financial officer Ray Young said the company's request for more loans was made with that weak outlook in mind.

"We're not forecasting any heroic recovery for the industry in '09," he told investors.
The company also said it anticipates its outside auditors will issue a statement on whether the company is a "going concern." The statement could be important not only to investors but to federal officials who are determining whether the company is viable in the long-term.

If the government determines GM is not viable, it would demand immediate repayment of the company's loans.

The auditor's statement will be included in GM's year-end results filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. GM disclosed Thursday it had filed for a two-week extension to submit that report.

The company also disclosed that its hourly and salaried pension plans are currently underfunded, on a combined basis, by about $12.4 billion. But GM said it does not anticipate needing to make a further contribution to those funds over the next three years.

GM facing challenges around the globe

As bad as GM's results were, it could have been worse. The company posted a $533 million gain because of the fact that GMAC, the finance unit in which it held a 49% stake during the quarter, got its bond holders to agree to swap debt for equity. GMAC become a bank holding company as a result of the debt swap, which significantly reduced GM's stake in the unit.

Excluding special items, GM lost $5.9 billion, or $9.65 a share, in the quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast a loss of $7.39 a share, compared to a profit of 8 cents a share on that basis a year ago.

The operating losses were particularly pronounced in GM's core North American market. It lost $3.5 billion before taxes in the quarter, up from a $1.3 billion loss in North America a year earlier.

Revenue in the North American unit plunged about 32% to $19.3 billion. GM's market share also slid 1.7 percentage points to 21%.

But GM, which now sells more than half its vehicles outside of North America, is facing challenges around the globe.

Losses more than quadrupled in Europe, and the company lost money in its Asia-Pacific and Latin America-Africa-Middle East units. GM posted profits in those two regions a year ago.
Overall revenue at GM plunged 34% to $30.8 billion, significantly worse than the Thomson-Reuters forecast of $35.1 billion.

For the full year, GM reported a net loss of $30.9 billion. The automaker has posted net losses of $82 billion over the past four years as its U.S. sales and market share plunged and it closed plants and slashed staff in an unsuccessful effort to stem losses.

Shares of GM fell about 8% in early morning trading Thursday.

Separately, GM rival Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500) filed its own year-end financial statement with the SEC Thursday. Its filing included an "unqualified" statement from the company's outside auditor that "there is no substantial doubt" about Ford's ability to continue as a going concern.

Because it arranged for billions of dollars of asset-backed loans and lines of bank credit years ago before the current credit crunch, Ford is in a much better cash position than GM and privately held Chrysler LLC.

Ford has yet to need federal loans but it has asked the government for a $9 billion line of credit in case the economy deteriorates further.

First Published: February 26, 2009: 7:19 AM ET

Source;
http://money.cnn.com/2009/02/26/news/companies/gm_results/?postversion=2009022607

'Detroit meltdown' worries Toyota, Honda

Nicolas Van Praet And Alia McMullen,
Financial Post Published: Thursday, November 13, 2008

Japanese automakers Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda MotorCo. say they are "very concerned" about the potential failure of Detroit's three car companies as analysts warn a bankruptcy would throw the entire auto supply base into chaos and rattle the operations of even the most profitable manufacturers.

The comments came as Canada's Finance Minister, Jim Flaherty, yesterday said some residents in his Ontario riding of Whitby-Oshawa, home to the Canadian headquarters and main assembly factories of General Motors Corp., don't want the government to hand GM and other Detroit automakers a bailout.

"We're very concerned" about a Detroit meltdown, said Mike Goss, spokesman for Toyota Motor Engineering &Manufacturing North America Inc. "In the past couple of days I've been asked 'Wouldn't it be great for Toyota if others fail?' We think the opposite is true."

The vehicles Toyota builds in North America contain an average of 75% domestically sourced parts and systems, and Toyota is reliant on many of the same suppliers used by GM, Ford Motor Co. or Chrysler LLC, Mr. Goss said.

The Japanese automakers are working to identify which suppliers have the biggest exposure to the Detroit firms.

They are also developing emergency plans in the event they need to replace a company providing them with parts. "Everything's on the table about what we might have to do," Mr. Goss said.

Should one or more of the Detroit three go bankrupt next year, all U. S. automotive operations, including those of the so-called new domestic manufacturers like Honda and Nissan MotorCo., will be paralyzed for at least one year because of the high likelihood many suppliers will run out of money, according to an analysis by the Center for Automotive Research, a think-tank based in Michigan.

"We expect a major wave in supplier bankruptcies or a 'supplier shock,' " the analysis said.

North America's roughly 6,000 auto suppliers are already under severe pressure from a collapse in U. S. sales of cars and trucks to 25-year lows, which has forced the Detroit automakers to cut output in the face of lower demand. Ford MotorCo. said yesterday it will temporarily shut down nine of its plants continent-wide this quarter as it builds 211,000 fewer vehicles than a year earlier, including Ontario assembly factories in Oakville and St. Thomas.

We're very concerned" about maintaining the stability of the supply base, said Edward Miller, spokesman for American Honda Motor Co. "Obviously this is very disruptive."

Mr. Flaherty said he expects U. S. lawmakers to craft a proposal for a rescue of the U. S. auto industry after GM warned last week it may not have enough cash to fund operations past this year amid a credit crisis. Discussions so far have centred around a bridge-loan package worth US$25-billion, in addition to US$25-billion worth of separate loans already approved to help the Big Three build more fuel-efficient vehicles.

"Economically, GM may prove too big to ignore simply because of the implications for not just employees, but also retirees and all the supplier companies if it was to collapse," said Nigel Gault, chief U. S. economist for IHS Global Insight Inc., an economic-analysis firm

Investors bet yesterday a bailout would go ahead, pushing up shares of GM by as much as 23% and Ford shares by as much as 11%.

Many Canadians say the federal government should do something to help the auto sector, Mr. Flaherty acknowledged at an economic conference in Toronto. "[But] there are lots of people that say, 'Don't do anything. Don't use my tax money to bail out an enterprise that may not survive.' " He added the views are not coming from rich constituents but "people on the street."

Mr. Flaherty said any aid Canada would offer would be for "transformational" support. "If we are going to do something, [we need] to find a way to ensure the sustain-ability, survivability, a product mix that is going to have profit here in Canada."

Henry Paulson, the U. S. Treasury Secretary, said yesterday automakers are a key part of the United States' manufacturing base but that any effort by government to rescue them "has got to be one that leads to viability."

Mr. Paulson is resisting pressure by Democratic lawmakers in the United States to use the US$700-billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, a bailout fund aimed at banks, to help Detroit.

Source;
http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=954380

GM, Ford May Face Bankruptcy on Slowdown, S&P Says

Well, these are some pretty intense times with how the stock market has taken a tumble, leading the way is GM and FORD. Times have not been good to either company and it is heavily reflected in how the economy has gone. A healthy domestic car sector is a healthy economy. Let's hope they can turn it around.
Oct. 10 (Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC may be forced into bankruptcy by slowing economies and dwindling U.S. auto sales, Standard & Poor's analyst Robert Schulz said.

"Macro factors could overwhelm them at some point'' even as the three biggest U.S. automakers vow to stick with their turnaround plans, Schulz, S&P's lead automotive credit analyst, said today in a Bloomberg Television interview in New York. The companies said they have no plans for a bankruptcy filing.

His assessment underscored the pressure on GM, Ford and Chrysler as the worsening global credit crisis makes it harder for buyers to get loans and dealers to finance their operations. S&P said yesterday it may further trim credit ratings for GM and Ford on forecasts for 2009 auto demand falling to the lowest level since 1992.

With all three companies working to boost cash, any bankruptcy filing would be a last resort, not a "strategic'' decision, Schulz said.

"We don't see that as something they would choose,'' he said. Schulz said the "trigger'' for a forced restructuring under bankruptcy protection would be based on the automakers' ability to preserve liquidity as sales decline. Industrywide U.S. sales slid 27 percent last month, the most in 17 years.

'Not an Option'

"Bankruptcy is not an option GM is considering,'' spokeswoman Renee Rashid-Merem said yesterday. "It would not be in the interests of our employees, stockholders, suppliers or customers.''

Ford and Chrysler also have said they're not considering bankruptcy.

GM rose 7 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $4.83 at 1:40 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, while Ford dropped 8 cents to $2. GM slumped to a 58-year low yesterday and Ford closed at its lowest since 1982. Chrysler is closely held.

Operating-cash needs at GM, Ford and Chrysler are "substantial, so if it looked like they were going to be pushing toward that number because of these operating losses and cash usage, that's sort of the point where they'd have to consider'' bankruptcy, Schulz said.

S&P said yesterday that its debt ratings for GM and Ford, already at six steps below investment grade at B-, may be lowered again because the automakers face a "serious challenge'' in 2009.

Barclays Capital reduced its target stock price for GM to $4 today, with analyst Brian Johnson in Chicago citing dwindling global auto demand.

GM's Cash Needs

"With auto sales stalled in the U.S. and beginning to contract in the rest of the world, we believe GM's cash needs are increasing,'' Johnson wrote in a note. "Moreover, the downside risk of greater decline in worldwide auto sales driving greater cash needs is increasing."

GM and Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford lost a combined $24.1 billion last quarter. GM last posted an annual profit in 2004, while Ford hasn't had a full-year profit since 2005.

GM's Rashid-Merem said the automaker still expects to add $15 billion in liquidity by the end of next year, including speeding up plans to cut $10 billion in costs.

Ford has a cash cushion, spokesman Mark Truby said yesterday in response to S&P's report raising the prospect of another ratings cut.

Ford's Borrowing

"We were fortunate to go to the markets at the right time,'' Truby said, referring to $23.4 billion borrowed in late 2006 to help pay for shutting plants and cutting jobs while developing new models.

He said Ford is reviewing its liquidity and will give an update when third-quarter financial results are released. Ford hasn't given a date for the release, which the company typically issues later in October.

Chrysler has no plans to declare bankruptcy, spokeswoman Shawn Morgan said yesterday in an interview.

The automakers won Congress's approval last month for funding a $25 billion loan package to help develop more fuel- efficient vehicles. Those funds will be spread primarily among Ford, GM and Auburn Hills, Michigan-based Chrysler, though other automakers, such as Volkswagen AG, have said they will seek a portion.

Regulators are writing the rules for that borrowing even as auto-market conditions worsen. Industry researcher J.D. Power & Associates estimated yesterday that U.S. industrywide sales will fall to 13.6 million this year and 13.2 million in 2009. Last year's total was 16.1 million.

Industrywide Outlook

Industrywide sales of 13 million autos next year would mean shrinkage in the overall U.S. vehicle fleet, said Erich Merkle, an analyst for consulting firm Crowe Horwath LLP in Oak Brook, Illinois.

"We are going to find people where they may have had three cars and now have two, and two cars now have one, and a lot of that is just because of the economic environment,'' Merkle said. "They may not have the ability to buy a new car and even if they do, they may not be able to get financing for that car.''

Global demand in 2009 may be even worse, with "an outright collapse'' now possible, according to J.D. Power, which is based in Westlake Village, California.

GM may announce further production cuts or plant closures as early as next week, the Associated Press reported today. GM spokesman Tony Sapienza declined to comment on the report in an interview.

In July, GM said it was considering further cuts to its metal stamping and engine plants because of reduced U.S. sales.

GM's 8.375 percent note due July 2033 fell 5.5 cents to 19 cents on the dollar today, yielding 43.9 percent, according to Trace, the bond-price reporting system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority.

Ford's 7.45 percent note due July 2031 declined 12 cents to 22 cents on the dollar, yielding 33.8 percent.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jeff Green in Southfield, Michigan, at jgreen16@bloomberg.net; Greg Bensinger in New York at gbensinger1@bloomberg.net


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Ford Motor Co. General Motors Corp.

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