Showing posts with label Businessweek. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Businessweek. Show all posts

Honda Aims to Profit from Rivals' Woes

The "Lehman shock" signaled perhaps the worst year in the history of Japanese carmakers, but Honda is having a better crisis than big rivals
While none of Japan's automakers has followed General Motors and Chrysler into the bankruptcy courts, it is hard to overestimate the sense of crisis triggered by Lehman Brothers' collapse last fall. For Japanese carmakers, plunging sales around the world were compounded by a surge in the value of the yen against the dollar and other currencies, eroding competitiveness at the worst possible moment. In January, Toyota's (TM) new president, Akio Toyoda, called the downturn "a once-in-a-hundred-year crisis." A few months later, Toyota announced its first annual loss in six decades. Meanwhile, carmakers and suppliers have contributed to Japan's unemployment rate reaching a postwar high and, on Aug. 30, an almost unprecedented change of government.

Yet, for all the many headwinds battering Japan's car industry, the pain hasn't been shared equally among Japan's nine major vehicle makers. Among Japan's Big Three, Toyota, Honda (HMC), and Nissan (NSANY), Honda looks like the winner, at least in terms of financial performance.

For the fiscal year that ended in March, Honda made a profit of $1.5 billion. That compares favorably with Toyota and Nissan, which both fell into the red, losing a combined $7 billion. What's more, with auto sales still struggling and the yen gaining ground once again, the trend looks set to continue. For the current year, Honda expects modest earnings of around $579 million, but Toyota and Nissan reckon they will lose another $4.7 billion and $1.9 billion, respectively. "We're taking the view that sales will continue to be slow, but compared to the others we are perhaps better off," said Takanobu Ito, Honda's new president and CEO, in an interview with BusinessWeek at the company's offices in Tokyo.

What separates Honda from its rivals? One big factor, of course, is a lack of gas guzzlers. When U.S. auto sales first began to weaken amid high gasoline prices and the fallout from the subprime crisis, big SUVs and pickups suffered first. Honda, with its lineup of gas sippers, was positioned to benefit from the downsizing trend, and its sales initially fared well. Only after the sales plunge spread to smaller models last fall did its numbers really start hurting.

Focusing on Green
Nevertheless, that focus on fuel-efficient small cars and hybrids continues to prop up the profit and loss statement. Smaller, more fuel-efficient models have benefited from cash-for-clunkers schemes. In Japan, the Insight hybrid, introduced in February, is a big seller as customers rush to take advantage of subsidies for green cars.

Then there's Honda's motorbike business—the largest in the world—which the company expects could account for half of operating profit during the current financial year on solid sales in emerging Asia and Brazil. "The bike business is going quite well and offsetting the weakness in car sales," says Ito, 55, who replaced Takeo Fukui as Honda chief in June.

For all that, industry watchers say that Honda's relative success amid the crisis in auto sales is about more than just a favorable product mix. They point out that its corporate culture, characterized by responsive management, a conservative investment approach, and a dose of healthy realism regarding the company's capabilities, shows up more in a crisis. "The thing about Honda is their pragmatism—it's one of the reasons they don't lose money," says Andrew Phillips, an analyst at KBC Securities in Tokyo.

Honda's lack of large vehicles, for instance, is no accident. When executives chose not to follow Toyota and Nissan as they expanded large pickup offerings earlier this decade, they did so against the advice of many in the auto industry. Instead, Honda did its own thing and focused on making healthy profit margins from what it does best—building small and midsize vehicles. While there is an automotive industry maxim that smaller models make less money, Honda finds economies by selling four key models—the Fit compact, the Civic and Accord sedans, and the CR-V crossover SUV—in larger numbers. The four account for more than 75% of its unit sales. Ito says that for a company of Honda's size—it has about half the sales of Toyota—it is vital to cut its cloth accordingly. "We have to be bold on the one hand but also quite prudent," Ito says. "We have to focus and be selective."

A No-Frills Culture
Another differentiator is that Honda, despite annual revenues of around $100 billion, is a relatively un-bureaucratic, no-frills kind of company. Senior executives, usually engineers by training, look more comfortable by a test track in overalls than in the boardroom. Among top managers, only Ito, as company president, has a chauffeur-driven car, which Honda says is for security reasons. Other executives, from the chief financial officer down, either ride the train or drive to the company's head office in Tokyo's Aoyama district. Discussion is actively encouraged.
Ito and other executives, for instance, share a large open-plan office in which Ito sits at a 5-ft.-by-2-ft. desk. Behind him, there is a small round table and four stools where executives can chat freely about pressing issues. Analysts say employees further down the corporate ladder are encouraged to speak up even if it is not what managers want to hear. "The beauty of Honda is that they are willing to hear the painful reality," says Tatsuo Yoshida, an analyst at UBS (UBS) in Tokyo.

That, says Ito, explains Honda's ultimately speedy response to plunging sales last fall. Ito, who led the team of executives that drew up a raft of cost-saving measures, recalls that because it initially resisted the downturn, Honda was slower than some rivals to begin tackling the crisis. But "once we started to consider what we had to do, we were quite quick in the decision-making process."

That culminated in a hastily arranged press conference last December in which Ito's predecessor Takeo Fukui listed a series of painful measures, including delaying a new flagship factory and putting off the introduction of clean diesels in the U.S. and Japanese markets, aimed at cutting costs and averting red ink. The hardest cut, Ito says, was pulling out of Formula One motor racing just three weeks before the start of a new season. Quitting the sport saves Honda an estimated $500 million a year, but one concern was the impact on the motivation of the 400 engineers out of a total of 13,000 in Japan that were assigned to supporting the Formula One effort. Ito, though, says he has "no regrets whatsoever. What's important now is focusing on what we've decided to do and improving our business efficiency."
As part of the shakeup, Ito is keen to further improve Honda's nimbleness. One example: He is also taking charge of Honda's research and development unit. By overseeing R&D and the company as a whole, he says, he will help the company give customers what they want faster.
Room for Improvement
With the outlook for the auto industry still uncertain, Ito now must steer the company through a period of depressed sales while positioning it to benefit from a future recovery. One challenge is implementing its green-car strategy: an ambitious plan to make hybrids account for about 10% of sales in the next few years. The launch of the new Insight hybrid has been a limited success.
The car, which is smaller than the Toyota Prius, is on its way to meeting a global sales target of 200,000 a year, but the numbers in the U.S. have been disappointing. Ito says one reason is that Honda, faced with unfavorable currency rates, has redirected sales to Japan, where the Insight is manufactured and in big demand. But he admits more needs to be done to make U.S. customers buy Honda hybrids. "We recognize there are some issues with the Insight and will make every effort to improve," he says.

Some critics complain that Honda, driven by a desire to balance the books, has dropped its fun-to-drive vehicles. For instance, the S2000 roadster ceased this year and a long-awaited successor to the NSX sports car has been shelved. The attractive CR-Z, a new sporty hybrid due for release in 2010, may appease enthusiasts, but Ito says Honda, having carved out a reputation for fuel efficiency, has no plans to add high-performance models unless they are environmentally sound. "We want to offer consumers fun-to-drive vehicles, but high-output models—so-called gas guzzlers—are not something we want to do," he says.
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Business Week; Can Honda Keep Defying Gravity?

Yes, that is a Honda Accord upside down, 'defying gravity', it's the best I could find....

So far Japan's No. 2 is weathering the slump in auto sales better than most other automakers, including rivals Toyota and Nissan

In the auto industry, sometimes it pays to avoid the recent fashion. In the late 1990s, when the mantra of auto consultants was that all but the biggest car companies must merge or die, Honda (HMC) remained fiercely independent and flourished. Alliances, including the ill-fated coming together of Daimler (DAI), Chrysler, and Mitsubishi Motors, in most cases didn't pay off.

More recently, Honda largely sidestepped the stampede to sell Americans bigger and heavier SUVs and pickups. That has held the Tokyo-based company in good stead, as sales of gas guzzlers have collapsed and helped Honda do better than most this year. While that's not saying a lot, Honda's U.S. auto sales through November are down 5.4% to 1.34 million vehicles. That's not good, but it's better than the U.S. Big Three, which have seen sales decline by more than 20%. It's also better than Toyota (TM) and Nissan (NSANY), whose sales have slipped 13.4% and 9.4%, respectively.

Combined with growth in China and other emerging markets, that partly explains why in October Honda assembled 370,000 autos around the world, more than any month in its history. It also explains why among Japan's Big Three automakers Honda appears to be the most optimistic for the months ahead. Indeed, while Toyota and Nissan cut their annual net profit projections by 68% and 52%, respectively, at the end of the last quarter, Honda said its full-year earnings will only be 1% shy of its original target of $5.2 billion. "Honda's earnings will not remain unscathed, but we think it is very resilient in the context of the sector," says Takaki Nakanishi, an auto analyst at JPMorgan Chase (JPM) in Tokyo.

Challenges Ahead
Still, as the global economic picture has worsened, there have been signs in recent weeks that even Honda's optimism may be waning. In Japan, Honda is cutting 760 temporary jobs at four plants, including a motorcycle plant, due to falling demand in the U.S. In Britain, the company will shutter production at its Swindon plant for 50 days in early 2009 and is offering workers an undisclosed number of early retirement packages.

Meanwhile, reports in Japan say Honda will scale back investment in emerging markets. According to the Nihon Keizai newspaper, Honda will delay a plan to raise capacity at a plant in Turkey; a new plant in India, slated for 2010, will be delayed until 2011 or later. And Honda sales in the important U.S. market are now plummeting almost as quickly as rivals. After slipping 25% year-on-year in October, Honda's U.S. sales fell 31.6% last month, compared with an industry average of 36.7%. "The fact is that the market changes are coming so fast we can barely catch up," Koichi Kondo, senior managing director at Honda, told BusinessWeek in an interview at the company's Tokyo headquarters on Nov. 28, before the November figures were released. "It's going to be quite challenging for us to meet profit targets."

One problem is that emerging markets that had been compensating for slumping demand in Japan, Europe, and the U.S. are now slowing. In China (BusinessWeek.com, 11/21/08), for example, Honda is still on target to meet its annual target of selling 490,000 vehicles this year, a rise of 17%. But that growth, says Kondo, hides a recent slowdown. "We'll hit our targets, which were set at the start of the year, but since October it's been harsh," he says.

Then there's the Detroit bailout. With customers nervous about the economy and unwilling to spend on new vehicles, U.S. auto sales, with some exceptions, are now falling across the board. It's not just big SUVs and pickups. Grim news of General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Chrysler needing a government-backed rescue hardly inspires confidence among would-be car buyers. Even worse for all automakers would be the impact of any of the Detroit carmakers going bust (BusinessWeek.com, 11/19/08). Any bankruptcy proceedings, Kondo says, would hurt suppliers, many of which are shared by domestic and transplant automakers, and the entire industry would suffer. "We want them to avoid Chapter 11 as much as possible," he says.

Yen Trouble
An added complication for Japanese automakers is the surging yen. Year-to-date the yen has risen 15% against the dollar. Against the euro it is up 25% and even more vs. many emerging-market currencies, making it harder for Japanese exporters to turn a profit on exports and reducing the value of profits made outside Japan when translated back into yen.

In Honda's favor, its levels of local production are relatively high. In North America, 78% of the vehicles it sells are built in the region, the highest ratio among Japan's Big Three. Analysts add that for the current quarter Honda has hedged much of the currency risk, which reduces its exposure to the yen's recent surge, albeit temporarily. Ultimately, a 1 yen appreciation of the Japanese currency against the dollar costs Honda about $200 million—the last thing an automaker needs at a time when global demand is slowing. "If the yen had been strengthening while volumes had been flying, there wouldn't be any great problems. It's the fact that everything is coming together all at once," says Andrew Phillips, an analyst at KBC Securities in Tokyo.

Still, for all the gloom, most analysts still maintain that Honda can do better than peers in the months ahead. Clearly, its problems are not close to those of U.S. rivals, which are trying to stare down bankruptcy. And even as sales fall in its key markets, Honda's focus on smaller cars and reputation for fuel economy and reliability should continue to aid sales during a recession. It's also telling that Honda isn't currently offering 0% financing in the U.S. to woo customers, unlike Toyota and Nissan. And yet Honda's sales are still falling less quickly.

Along with higher levels of local production, analysts also point to the effectiveness of Honda's strategy of focusing on big-selling global models. In the U.S., for instance, Honda sells 15 models in all. That's not even half the lineup of Toyota, which has 29 different models; Nissan, meanwhile, with smaller sales, offers 21. What's more, just four "global models"—the Fit, Civic, Accord, and CR-V—account for 75% of Honda's total sales, with each selling more than 500,000 a year. That means that while Honda has less buying power than larger carmakers, it can still eke out scale efficiencies. "If we really want to have efficient production, it's better to have more of these global models," Kondo says. The worry for other automakers is that if Honda struggles, it likely will be even worse for them.

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http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/dec2008/gb2008123_306718.htm

The Honda Accord is Creeping up on the Toyota Camry's No1 Spot in the U.S.

Toyota Camry: No. 1 But for How Long?

The '09 version of the best-selling Camry is a near-flawless car but it could lose its crown to the surging Honda Accord
by Thane Peterson of Businessweek
I hear more and more people claiming that Toyota's (TM) Camry has seen its better days. The Camry's fit and finish aren't as good as they once were, the critics say, and some of the materials used in the cabin are a bit chintzy. The editor of Car and Driver claims General Motors' (GM) new Chevy Malibu is just as good, and Consumer Reports dropped the six-cylinder version of the '07 and '08 Camry from its recommended list. Among the critics are many BusinessWeek.com readers (check out the comments about my review of the Malibu (BusinessWeek.com, 12/10/07)
I think the critics are all wet about the Camry declining in quality, especially as concerns the fuel-efficient four-cylinder version, which is what most shoppers want these days. I recently test-drove the four-cylinder '09 Camry LE under all kinds of conditions, and I can find very little to criticize about the car. The Camry was completely redesigned for the '07 model year and has remained largely unchanged since then. It certainly isn't exciting to look at. But for what it is—an affordable family sedan designed to appeal to Middle American tastes—the Camry is still a flawlessly executed vehicle.
Of course, you can't tell much about a car's long-term reliability from a one-week test drive. But if the Camry were really in trouble, its resale value would be plunging, something J.D. Power & Associates sees no sign of. In fact, the Camry continues to hold its value at least as well as Honda's (HMC) Accord (BusinessWeek.com, 11/19/07). For instance, in the first quarter of 2006, the '05 Camry had a resale value of $17,864, vs. $20,539 for the '05 Accord, J.D Power says. The '05 Accord was more valuable because its original average price was higher. But since then, the '05 Accord's resale value has fallen faster than the Camry's, dropping 24.2%, to $15,571, compared with only a 17.5% drop, to $14,739, for the '05 Camry, J.D. Power figures. (Like BusinessWeek.com, J.D. Power & Associates is a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (MHP).)
There are early signs that the redesigned '07 Camry and Accord are reversing roles, with the Camry costing more initially and losing value a bit more quickly. Since the third quarter of 2006, the value of the '07 Camry has fallen by 18.2%, from $23,036 to $19,070, while the '07 Accord's resale price dropped 17.2%, from $22,750 to $18,839. But J.D. Power says the numbers may be skewed because the '07 Camry came out earlier than the '07 Accord. The Accord also was redesigned the following year. My take: Even if the Camry only matches the Accord on resale value, that's still terrific.
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